Stochastic programming model for the selection of an optimal portfolio
| Year | Start Page | End Page |
|---|---|---|
2007 | 1 | 6 |
The present paper proposes to make use of a stochastic programming model for the selection of a portfolio from the set of efficient (Pareto optimal) portfolios. After making a presumption about distribution of the profit norm of the portfolio, a portfolio maximizing the bottom line of profit norm is found for the selected confidence level. By fixing the bottom line of profit norm, it is possible to find a portfolio which maximizes the probability that the profit norm of the portfolio will not be lower than the fixed one. Inefficient portfolios, which are obtained by solving a linear programming task and searching an optimal mixed strategy for a statistical matrix game, are modeled. In the experimental part, the models and their presumptions are tested on the basis of data of the Baltic Stock Exchange.